International space efforts to double in next decade
The new colonial movement: According to a new industry analysis, the number of countries with active space efforts will double to almost fifty in the next decade.
By 2025, we estimate that the number of emerging space programs will increase to 47 countries around the world. This includes 23 newcomers who will have committed their first investment in space between 2016 and 2025. Over 130 satellites are forecast to be launched in the next 10 years, nearly double that of the last decade. The total value of these satellites should more than double at nearly $12 billion, versus more than $5 billion during 2006-2015.
The new efforts are not confined to the traditional space programs, but also include nations that will be purchasing services from others to build satellites for them.
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The new colonial movement: According to a new industry analysis, the number of countries with active space efforts will double to almost fifty in the next decade.
By 2025, we estimate that the number of emerging space programs will increase to 47 countries around the world. This includes 23 newcomers who will have committed their first investment in space between 2016 and 2025. Over 130 satellites are forecast to be launched in the next 10 years, nearly double that of the last decade. The total value of these satellites should more than double at nearly $12 billion, versus more than $5 billion during 2006-2015.
The new efforts are not confined to the traditional space programs, but also include nations that will be purchasing services from others to build satellites for them.
Readers!
My annual February birthday fund-raising drive for Behind the Black is now over. Thank you to everyone who donated or subscribed. While not a record-setter, the donations were more than sufficient and slightly above average.
As I have said many times before, I can’t express what it means to me to get such support, especially as no one is required to pay anything to read my work. Thank you all again!
For those readers who like my work here at Behind the Black and haven't contributed so far, please consider donating or subscribing. My analysis of space, politics, and culture, taken from the perspective of an historian, is almost always on the money and ahead of the game. For example, in 2020 I correctly predicted that the COVID panic was unnecessary, that the virus was apparently simply a variation of the flu, that masks were not simply pointless but if worn incorrectly were a health threat, that the lockdowns were a disaster and did nothing to stop the spread of COVID. Every one of those 2020 conclusions has turned out right.
Your help allows me to do this kind of intelligent analysis. I take no advertising or sponsors, so my reporting isn't influenced by donations by established space or drug companies. Instead, I rely entirely on donations and subscriptions from my readers, which gives me the freedom to write what I think, unencumbered by outside influences.
You can support me either by giving a one-time contribution or a regular subscription. There are four ways of doing so:
1. Zelle: This is the only internet method that charges no fees. All you have to do is use the Zelle link at your internet bank and give my name and email address (zimmerman at nasw dot org). What you donate is what I get.
2. Patreon: Go to my website there and pick one of five monthly subscription amounts, or by making a one-time donation.
3. A Paypal Donation or subscription:
4. Donate by check, payable to Robert Zimmerman and mailed to
Behind The Black
c/o Robert Zimmerman
P.O.Box 1262
Cortaro, AZ 85652
You can also support me by buying one of my books, as noted in the boxes interspersed throughout the webpage or shown in the menu above.
This is exciting news. As the number of countries, companies, and universities active in space exploration increase, we will get a greater diversity of experiments and will learn more — faster — than if it had only been the two big countries spending their limited funds. I anticipate many good things coming from this expansion of space-faring countries.
The number of forecast satellites is about 1/10th of the number that the current space-faring countries would be expected to launch over the same decade.
I also expect more countries to set up their own *manned* space programs, if only to send people to some of Bigelow’s (future) space laboratories. With private manned spacecraft, countries will not have to spend the large sums of money to develop their own rockets and won’t have to conform to another country’s rules and limits for guest astronauts. With their own astronauts (or whatever they choose to call their star voyagers), they can perform their own experiments privately, without anyone else learning what they have discovered, giving them their own advantage over the current space-faring countries.