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The time has come for my annual short Thanksgiving/Christmas fund drive for Behind The Black. I must do this every year in order to make sure I have earned enough money to pay my bills.

 

For this two-week campaign, I am offering a special deal to encourage donations. Donations of $200 will get a free autographed copy of the new paperback edition of Genesis: The Story of Apollo 8, while donations of $250 will get a free autographed copy of the new hardback edition. If you desire a copy, make sure you provide me your address with your donation.

 

As I noted in July, the support of my readers through the years has given me the freedom and ability to analyze objectively the ongoing renaissance in space, as well as the cultural changes -- for good or ill -- that are happening across America. Fourteen years ago I wrote that SLS and Orion were a bad ideas, a waste of money, would be years behind schedule, and better replaced by commercial private enterprise. Only now does it appear that Washington might finally recognize this reality.

 

In 2020 when the world panicked over COVID I wrote that the panic was unnecessary, that the virus was apparently simply a variation of the flu, that masks were not simply pointless but if worn incorrectly were a health threat, that the lockdowns were a disaster and did nothing to stop the spread of COVID. Only in the past year have some of our so-called experts in the health field have begun to recognize these facts.

 

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Scientists: Dry ice glaciers at Mars’ south pole ice cap are active and moving

Map of Martian south pole ice cap
The moving glaciers are mostly thought to be in the dark troughs on
the edge of the dry ice topping the perennial cap, flowing down to
pond on the water ice below.

The uncertainty of science: According to a newly published paper, scientists have concluded that some of the dry ice glaciers at the Martian south pole ice cap are still active and moving, flowing into basins which allow them to survive longer during warm periods.

From the paper’s abstract:

Carbon dioxide (CO2) ice is found in a stack of deposits at Mars’ south pole. These deposits are situated in basins, where they reach more than 1 km thick. Previous work suggested that the CO2 ice should be deposited when the axial tilt of the planet was lower, making the poles colder than they are now; however, the thickness and distribution of this ice should be much thinner than observed if only atmospheric effects are working on the ice. Therefore, the CO2 ice deposit distribution cannot be explained by atmospheric deposition alone. In this paper, we use glacial modeling and feature analysis to demonstrate that glacial flow better explains the distribution of ice in its present state. In addition, we show that the slopes on the south polar cap act to focus glacial flow into the basins, where it can survive warm periods by sublimating only the uppermost sections when the tilt of the planet is larger than present day.

The scientists estimate that the motion of these glaciers began approximately 600,000 years ago. According to Isaac Smith of the Planetary Science Institute in Arizona, the paper’s lead author:

“The longest glacier is about 200 kilometers long and about 40 kilometers across. These are big! That activity is ongoing, but flow rates probably peaked about 400,000 years ago when deposition was greatest. We’re in a slow period because the [dry] ice is decreasing in mass, and that slows down glaciers.”

This conclusion however is not confirmed, since to date no high resolution image of the glaciers has actually seen any change. From the paper:

Our search for surface translation over the relatively short baseline of Mars Reconnaissance Orbiter’s [MRO] time in orbit (∼15 years) has not detected any movement.

MRO has the resolution to see this motion, but the rate of movement, likely much less than 8 inches per year, is probably why no changes have yet been detected. Lacking visual proof, the scientists resorted to computer modeling, updating already existing models to better match the data, and consistently found that these glaciers should be moving, based on the known conditions.

Because the conclusion is not confirmed by any observational proof, however, it must be viewed with skepticism. Still, the conclusion is not unreasonable based on the known facts, and given time and now knowing exactly where to look, orbital images are likely to eventually confirm it.

If so, I think (but am unsure) that these glaciers might be the first glaciers of any kind found to be still active on Mars. All the water ice glaciers so far detected appear to be inactive at this time, neither growing nor shrinking.

Genesis cover

On Christmas Eve 1968 three Americans became the first humans to visit another world. What they did to celebrate was unexpected and profound, and will be remembered throughout all human history. Genesis: the Story of Apollo 8, Robert Zimmerman's classic history of humanity's first journey to another world, tells that story, and it is now available as both an ebook and an audiobook, both with a foreword by Valerie Anders and a new introduction by Robert Zimmerman.

 

The print edition can be purchased at Amazon. from any other book seller, or direct from my ebook publisher, ebookit. The ebook is available everywhere for $5.99 (before discount) at amazon, or direct from my ebook publisher, ebookit. If you buy it from ebookit you don't support the big tech companies and the author gets a bigger cut much sooner.


The audiobook is also available at all these vendors, and is also free with a 30-day trial membership to Audible.
 

"Not simply about one mission, [Genesis] is also the history of America's quest for the moon... Zimmerman has done a masterful job of tying disparate events together into a solid account of one of America's greatest human triumphs."--San Antonio Express-News

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