December 5, 2023 Quick space links
Courtesy of BtB’s stringer Jay. Sorry about posting this late.
- SpaceX targeting 100 launches per year at Vandenberg by 2025
This high pace is certainly because it needs to get many Starlink satellites into orbit to meet its FCC licesne requirements, and doesn’t yet have Starship as planned. The Falcon 9 however has proven it can do it however.
- Australian rocket startup Gilmour shows off pictures of the upper stage of its Eris rocket
They had hoped to fly this year but are now targeting a launch from Australia sometime in 2024.
- Sierra Space wins DARPA contract to develop oxygen extraction from lunar soil
The contract could be extended for up to ten years, and also involves developing other technologies that would use that oxygen, not just for breathing but for engine technology.
- Axiom touts the first module of its space station, being built by Thales-Alenia in Europe
The picture isn’t that interesting, but as Jay notes, “This small company is actually building something, the future. This is a view of the first private space station being built.”
- NASA officials whine that commercial companies maintain the secrecy of their proprietary in-house designs
Essentially, these officials want to stick their nose into the work of these companies (“We’re from the government and we’re here to help!”), and the companies are telling them to pound sand. I think that’s wonderful, though we should always worry when government officials begin complaining in this manner. The next step is always for them to use the power of government to enforce their desires.
- Hollywood movie trailer about what happens on ISS when war between the U.S. and Russia breaks out
I like Jay’s comment: “Oh for the love of….” To me it seems very predictable and not very interesting. Pure formula.
- NRO awards contracts to five commercial companies to develop better orbital surveillance technologies
This continues the shift by the federal government from designing, building, and owning everything to becoming a customer that obtains what it wants from the privately-developed and -owned products of the private sector.
The support of my readers through the years has given me the freedom and ability to analyze objectively the ongoing renaissance in space, as well as the cultural changes -- for good or ill -- that are happening across America. Four years ago, just before the 2020 election I wrote that Joe Biden's mental health was suspect. Only in the past two weeks has the mainstream media decided to recognize that basic fact.
Fourteen years ago I wrote that SLS and Orion were a bad ideas, a waste of money, would be years behind schedule, and better replaced by commercial private enterprise. Even today NASA and Congress refuses to recognize this reality.
In 2020 when the world panicked over COVID I wrote that the panic was unnecessary, that the virus was apparently simply a variation of the flu, that masks were not simply pointless but if worn incorrectly were a health threat, that the lockdowns were a disaster and did nothing to stop the spread of COVID. Only in the past year have some of our so-called experts in the health field have begun to recognize these facts.
Your help allows me to do this kind of intelligent analysis. I take no advertising or sponsors, so my reporting isn't influenced by donations by established space or drug companies. Instead, I rely entirely on donations and subscriptions from my readers, which gives me the freedom to write what I think, unencumbered by outside influences.
Please consider supporting my work here at Behind the Black.
You can support me either by giving a one-time contribution or a regular subscription. There are five ways of doing so:
1. Zelle: This is the only internet method that charges no fees. All you have to do is use the Zelle link at your internet bank and give my name and email address (zimmerman at nasw dot org). What you donate is what I get.
2. Patreon: Go to my website there and pick one of five monthly subscription amounts, or by making a one-time donation.
3. A Paypal Donation:
5. Donate by check, payable to Robert Zimmerman and mailed to
Behind The Black
c/o Robert Zimmerman
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You can also support me by buying one of my books, as noted in the boxes interspersed throughout the webpage or shown in the menu above. And if you buy the books through the ebookit links, I get a larger cut and I get it sooner.
Courtesy of BtB’s stringer Jay. Sorry about posting this late.
- SpaceX targeting 100 launches per year at Vandenberg by 2025
This high pace is certainly because it needs to get many Starlink satellites into orbit to meet its FCC licesne requirements, and doesn’t yet have Starship as planned. The Falcon 9 however has proven it can do it however.
- Australian rocket startup Gilmour shows off pictures of the upper stage of its Eris rocket
They had hoped to fly this year but are now targeting a launch from Australia sometime in 2024.
- Sierra Space wins DARPA contract to develop oxygen extraction from lunar soil
The contract could be extended for up to ten years, and also involves developing other technologies that would use that oxygen, not just for breathing but for engine technology.
- Axiom touts the first module of its space station, being built by Thales-Alenia in Europe
The picture isn’t that interesting, but as Jay notes, “This small company is actually building something, the future. This is a view of the first private space station being built.”
- NASA officials whine that commercial companies maintain the secrecy of their proprietary in-house designs
Essentially, these officials want to stick their nose into the work of these companies (“We’re from the government and we’re here to help!”), and the companies are telling them to pound sand. I think that’s wonderful, though we should always worry when government officials begin complaining in this manner. The next step is always for them to use the power of government to enforce their desires.
- Hollywood movie trailer about what happens on ISS when war between the U.S. and Russia breaks out
I like Jay’s comment: “Oh for the love of….” To me it seems very predictable and not very interesting. Pure formula.
- NRO awards contracts to five commercial companies to develop better orbital surveillance technologies
This continues the shift by the federal government from designing, building, and owning everything to becoming a customer that obtains what it wants from the privately-developed and -owned products of the private sector.
The support of my readers through the years has given me the freedom and ability to analyze objectively the ongoing renaissance in space, as well as the cultural changes -- for good or ill -- that are happening across America. Four years ago, just before the 2020 election I wrote that Joe Biden's mental health was suspect. Only in the past two weeks has the mainstream media decided to recognize that basic fact.
Fourteen years ago I wrote that SLS and Orion were a bad ideas, a waste of money, would be years behind schedule, and better replaced by commercial private enterprise. Even today NASA and Congress refuses to recognize this reality.
In 2020 when the world panicked over COVID I wrote that the panic was unnecessary, that the virus was apparently simply a variation of the flu, that masks were not simply pointless but if worn incorrectly were a health threat, that the lockdowns were a disaster and did nothing to stop the spread of COVID. Only in the past year have some of our so-called experts in the health field have begun to recognize these facts.
Your help allows me to do this kind of intelligent analysis. I take no advertising or sponsors, so my reporting isn't influenced by donations by established space or drug companies. Instead, I rely entirely on donations and subscriptions from my readers, which gives me the freedom to write what I think, unencumbered by outside influences.
Please consider supporting my work here at Behind the Black.
You can support me either by giving a one-time contribution or a regular subscription. There are five ways of doing so:
1. Zelle: This is the only internet method that charges no fees. All you have to do is use the Zelle link at your internet bank and give my name and email address (zimmerman at nasw dot org). What you donate is what I get.
2. Patreon: Go to my website there and pick one of five monthly subscription amounts, or by making a one-time donation.
3. A Paypal Donation:
5. Donate by check, payable to Robert Zimmerman and mailed to
Behind The Black
c/o Robert Zimmerman
P.O.Box 1262
Cortaro, AZ 85652
You can also support me by buying one of my books, as noted in the boxes interspersed throughout the webpage or shown in the menu above. And if you buy the books through the ebookit links, I get a larger cut and I get it sooner.
The one good thing about company buy-ups is that engineers can learn each other’s secrets.
Now if information wants to be free–I say a law needs be passed to where private individuals cannot be sued by Hollywood for making their own movies with Deep Fakes.
I believe I read that all of Tesla’s patents are royalty-free. Is that also true of SpaceX?
Ray Van Dune: It is my understanding that SpaceX does not waste time getting patents. It keeps its data in-house, using non-disclosure agreements to help keep its stuff private. However, Musk has said that he’d rather not waste money or time trying (and failing) to restrict new development by others.
That doesn’t mean he will nonchalantly give the government anything willy-nilly.
Ray Van Dune,
Patents in the U.S. are good for 20 years. Copyrights are 120 years. Why bring up copyrights? Programming code can be copyrighted.
In the U.S. we have a very broad scope to what a patent covers and what is infringement. In certain eastern countries, Japan for instance, one small change to a patent and it is a new patent. Of course there are countries where they don’t give a damn and will out right copy your patent and product. I have seen it in countries like Malaysia, South Korea, and let us not forget the biggest offender- China.
SpaceX seems to have the mindset of “we’ll make some effort to protect our stuff, but if you steal it, well, by the time you have it reverse-engineered and in production, we’ll have iterated a dozen times and be using stuff that is completely different and five generations ahead anyways. Good luck keeping up when your mindset is ‘steal and copy’.”
On the Vandenburg launch rate: I’ll be very impressed if they pull that off. That will be a huge change for Vandenburg, and I can see the locals getting very upset. I also see the weather being an issue.
David Eastman,
Bingo on the SpaceX attitude toward IP theft, though it also directs considerable effort toward keeping its trade secrets secret. Successfully, too, it would seem. There is no evidence of any significant breach of SpaceX’s IP protection systems ever having taken place, though the PRC is tireless in making attempts. If the PRC had ever managed to get any significant F9 IP, for example, it wouldn’t still be a dozen or more years behind SpaceX in terms of rocket reusability.
Re: Vandenberg, the base is in CA. There are always plenty of NIMBYs anywhere one goes in CA. But they don’t always get their way. As the linked article makes clear, there are also plenty of locals who will be delighted by the positive local economic impact of the planned increase in Falcon launch cadence from Vandy. Any soreheads can be – at worst – bought out by SpaceX.
From the Space News article on whining NASA engineers:
All those guys really need is interface documentation. If they truly need more than they are getting, so that they can spread around the proprietary information, then they should have specified that in the contract.
NASA is easy with other people’s hard work. Thirty-ish years ago, I was doing some work on a solar X-ray telescope for NASA, and the Japanese were making a similar, slightly larger, X-ray telescope. We would send NASA information that they requested, and a few months later we noticed that the Japanese telescope would incorporate exactly what we told NASA. We couldn’t really complain, because one of the downsides to a cost-plus contract is that if you don’t negotiate the contract right, everything you do belongs to NASA (similar to an employee’s invention belongs to his company). But it sure was annoying to know that your hard work in solving a problem was so freely distributed by NASA to everyone they knew. Just as the NASA guy said in the above quotes. No one was finding a different solution, maybe a better solution.
So every company providing a service to NASA needs to keep their traps shut about any details of what they are doing, or valuable proprietary information will quickly be known to the entire world. No wonder virtually everything seen at Starbase is speculation, not informed by SpaceX itself. They neither confirm nor deny the speculation.
The downside of this kind of privacy policy is that NASA does have a harder time copying Apollo’s success.
Recently, Smarter Every Day’s Destin gave a talk to a bunch of aerospace people in which he touted NASA’s SP-287 document, What Made Apollo a Success?, (covering up to the Apollo 12 mission — it is clear that the document was written before Apollo 13). The essence of the reasons for success are: keeping everything simple; planning — lots of planning, confirming designs, workmanship, and changes through ground test; keeping everyone informed with every detail that they need in order to do their jobs; practicing every activity and many contingencies, developing the ability to solve unexpected problems; and knowing how to limit the contingency planning so that you don’t overwhelm yourselves.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=OoJsPvmFixU (one hour, Smarter Every Day)
https://ntrs.nasa.gov/api/citations/19720005243/downloads/19720005243.pdf
So, shouldn’t the question be, how much proprietary information do the other companies need from each other in order to make Artemis a success? NASA might be demanding such information just to make less work for themselves.
Keep that general away from my development program. Like the FAA, he does not understand the goals of test and when a test is extended beyond the goals in order to learn more than intended. It is a bit like performing a pressure test, then going on to find the actual burst pressure. The test succeeded despite the burst tank.
Robert wrote: “It is my understanding that SpaceX does not waste time getting patents. It keeps its data in-house, using non-disclosure agreements to help keep its stuff private.”
My recollection is that SpaceX patents things that can be seen but not the things that cannot be seen. By it very nature, a patent just shows the world your idea so that they can copy it as soon as the patent expires. Sooner, if it is China.