To read this post please scroll down.

 

Readers! A November fund-raising drive!

 

It is unfortunately time for another November fund-raising campaign to support my work here at Behind the Black. I really dislike doing these, but 2025 is so far turning out to be a very poor year for donations and subscriptions, the worst since 2020. I very much need your support for this webpage to survive.

 

And I think I provide real value. Fifteen years ago I said SLS was garbage and should be cancelled. Almost a decade ago I said Orion was a lie and a bad idea. As early as 1998, long before almost anyone else, I predicted in my first book, Genesis: The Story of Apollo 8, that private enterprise and freedom would conquer the solar system, not government. Very early in the COVID panic and continuing throughout I noted that every policy put forth by the government (masks, social distancing, lockdowns, jab mandates) was wrong, misguided, and did more harm than good. In planetary science, while everyone else in the media still thinks Mars has no water, I have been reporting the real results from the orbiters now for more than five years, that Mars is in fact a planet largely covered with ice.

 

I could continue with numerous other examples. If you want to know what others will discover a decade hence, read what I write here at Behind the Black. And if you read my most recent book, Conscious Choice, you will find out what is going to happen in space in the next century.

 

 

This last claim might sound like hubris on my part, but I base it on my overall track record.

 

So please consider donating or subscribing to Behind the Black, either by giving a one-time contribution or a regular subscription. I could really use the support at this time. There are five ways of doing so:

 

1. Zelle: This is the only internet method that charges no fees. All you have to do is use the Zelle link at your internet bank and give my name and email address (zimmerman at nasw dot org). What you donate is what I get.

 

2. Patreon: Go to my website there and pick one of five monthly subscription amounts, or by making a one-time donation. Takes about a 10% cut.
 

3. A Paypal Donation or subscription, which takes about a 15% cut:

 

4. Donate by check. I get whatever you donate. Make the check payable to Robert Zimmerman and mail it to
 
Behind The Black
c/o Robert Zimmerman
P.O.Box 1262
Cortaro, AZ 85652

 

You can also support me by buying one of my books, as noted in the boxes interspersed throughout the webpage or shown in the menu above.


Another thousand exoplanets from Kepler

Kepler today released an updated catalog of candidate exoplanets observed during the space telescope’s first sixteen months of observations. In this release, they list more than a thousand new exoplanet candidates, almost two hundred of which are Earth-sized. Among the new exoplanet candidates, twenty-five are in the habitable zone!

Now for some details.

First, they have a found lot of new candidate exoplanets.

The metrics and procedures described above … yield 1091 new planet candidates, representing a gain of 88% over the B11 catalog. Eight of the new candidates are single-transit events. … After removing the single-transit based candidates, the remaining candidates range in size from one-third the size of Earth to three times the size of Jupiter. … Of the new candidates, 196 are Earth-size (RP < 1.25R⊕), 416 super-Earth-size (1.25R⊕ ≤ RP < 2R⊕), 421 Neptune-size (2R⊕ ≤ RP < 6R⊕ ), and 41 Jupiter-size (6R⊕ ≤ RP < 15R⊕ ), respectively. An additional 17 candidates are included in the catalog that are larger than 15R⊕ , a small number of which are larger than three times the size of Jupiter and unlikely to be consistent with the planet interpretation. [pages 25-26, emphasis mine]

Second, of these, three hundred of these thousand exoplanets are part of multiple planet systems.

Third, twenty-five of these exoplanets are in the habitable zone:

With each successive catalog, we see clear progress toward the Earth-size planets in the Habitable Zone. … Twenty-five of the new candidates are located in the range 185 K < Teq < 303 K, and one, KOI-2124.01, is near Earth-size and at the hot end of this temperature range.

To put it in plain English, these twenty-five planets experience temperatures ranging from -125 to 85 degrees Fahrenheit. One planet, KOI-2124.01, is about the same size as the Earth and sits in the high end of that temperature range.

Finally, they are finding more small rocky planets than their computer simulations had predicted.

The distribution in both size and orbital period of the new candidates is qualitatively similar to that of the previously published candidates, although smaller planets are more prevalent. More than 91% of the new planet candidates are smaller than Neptune (compared to 73% for the B11 catalog). The largest relative gains are seen not only for the smaller planets but also for those at longer orbital periods.

In other words, the longer they look, the more rocky Earthlike planets they find, in longer orbits. Why they are finding more of these rocky Earthlike planets than predicted is as yet unclear. It could be that solar systems naturally produce more of these rocky planets, or that their sample is simply not large enough yet.

While the scientists caution that many of these candidates might be false positives, they are also appear confident that most are real.

Either way, expect to hear a lot more about exoplanet KOI-2124.01 in the coming years. It appears it could be the first exoEarth so far discovered that humans could actually live on.

Genesis cover

On Christmas Eve 1968 three Americans became the first humans to visit another world. What they did to celebrate was unexpected and profound, and will be remembered throughout all human history. Genesis: the Story of Apollo 8, Robert Zimmerman's classic history of humanity's first journey to another world, tells that story, and it is now available as both an ebook and an audiobook, both with a foreword by Valerie Anders and a new introduction by Robert Zimmerman.

 

The print edition can be purchased at Amazon or from any other book seller. If you want an autographed copy the price is $60 for the hardback and $45 for the paperback, plus $8 shipping for each. Go here for purchasing details. The ebook is available everywhere for $5.99 (before discount) at amazon, or direct from my ebook publisher, ebookit. If you buy it from ebookit you don't support the big tech companies and the author gets a bigger cut much sooner.


The audiobook is also available at all these vendors, and is also free with a 30-day trial membership to Audible.
 

"Not simply about one mission, [Genesis] is also the history of America's quest for the moon... Zimmerman has done a masterful job of tying disparate events together into a solid account of one of America's greatest human triumphs."--San Antonio Express-News

5 comments

  • Patrick Ritchie

    Any data on which star KOI-2124.01 orbits?

  • The paper, which I linked, only gives a little information. The planet orbits every 42 days and has an effective surface temperature of approximately 80 degrees Fahrenheit. As I said tonight on the John Batchelor Show, kind of like a typical spring day here in Tucson.

    The star has a radius half that of the Sun, with an stellar effective temperature of 4103 degrees Kelvin, or just under 7000 degrees Fahrenheit. From what I can gather, this would make it a K star, dimmer than the sun, which of course explains why the planet can be in the habitable zone and only have a year 42 days long.

    Unfortunately, the paper does not tell us how far away this star is. I’ve dug about, but have not been able to find out anything.

  • uk superior term papers

    This is my essay topic. I bet there are billions more planets like this!

  • Will

    The answer to your question is about 620 light years distant. Pretty close for a Kepler Candidate and at a similar distance to Kepler 22

  • Thank you. What is your source? Or did I miss it in the paper itself?

Leave a Reply

Your email address will not be published. Required fields are marked *