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Readers! A November fund-raising drive!

 

It is unfortunately time for another November fund-raising campaign to support my work here at Behind the Black. I really dislike doing these, but 2025 is so far turning out to be a very poor year for donations and subscriptions, the worst since 2020. I very much need your support for this webpage to survive.

 

And I think I provide real value. Fifteen years ago I said SLS was garbage and should be cancelled. Almost a decade ago I said Orion was a lie and a bad idea. As early as 1998, long before almost anyone else, I predicted in my first book, Genesis: The Story of Apollo 8, that private enterprise and freedom would conquer the solar system, not government. Very early in the COVID panic and continuing throughout I noted that every policy put forth by the government (masks, social distancing, lockdowns, jab mandates) was wrong, misguided, and did more harm than good. In planetary science, while everyone else in the media still thinks Mars has no water, I have been reporting the real results from the orbiters now for more than five years, that Mars is in fact a planet largely covered with ice.

 

I could continue with numerous other examples. If you want to know what others will discover a decade hence, read what I write here at Behind the Black. And if you read my most recent book, Conscious Choice, you will find out what is going to happen in space in the next century.

 

 

This last claim might sound like hubris on my part, but I base it on my overall track record.

 

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New Horizons team picks its next Kuiper Belt target

The New Horizons science team has picked its next Kuiper Belt fly-by target beyond Pluto.

New Horizons will perform a series of four maneuvers in late October and early November to set its course toward 2014 MU69 – nicknamed “PT1” (for “Potential Target 1”) – which it expects to reach on January 1, 2019. Any delays from those dates would cost precious fuel and add mission risk. “2014 MU69 is a great choice because it is just the kind of ancient KBO, formed where it orbits now, that the Decadal Survey desired us to fly by,” said New Horizons Principal Investigator Alan Stern, of the Southwest Research Institute (SwRI) in Boulder, Colorado. “Moreover, this KBO costs less fuel to reach [than other candidate targets], leaving more fuel for the flyby, for ancillary science, and greater fuel reserves to protect against the unforeseen.”

The press release includes some silly gobbly-gook about how the science team can’t announce this as its official target because they still have to write up a proposal to submit to NASA, which then must ponder their decision and decree it valid. We all know this is ridiculous. Will NASA sit and ponder and make them miss their target? I doubt it.

The fly-by itself will be really exciting, because this object will truly be the most unusual we will have ever gotten a close look at, as it has spent its entire existence far out in the dim reaches of the solar system.

Genesis cover

On Christmas Eve 1968 three Americans became the first humans to visit another world. What they did to celebrate was unexpected and profound, and will be remembered throughout all human history. Genesis: the Story of Apollo 8, Robert Zimmerman's classic history of humanity's first journey to another world, tells that story, and it is now available as both an ebook and an audiobook, both with a foreword by Valerie Anders and a new introduction by Robert Zimmerman.

 

The print edition can be purchased at Amazon or from any other book seller. If you want an autographed copy the price is $60 for the hardback and $45 for the paperback, plus $8 shipping for each. Go here for purchasing details. The ebook is available everywhere for $5.99 (before discount) at amazon, or direct from my ebook publisher, ebookit. If you buy it from ebookit you don't support the big tech companies and the author gets a bigger cut much sooner.


The audiobook is also available at all these vendors, and is also free with a 30-day trial membership to Audible.
 

"Not simply about one mission, [Genesis] is also the history of America's quest for the moon... Zimmerman has done a masterful job of tying disparate events together into a solid account of one of America's greatest human triumphs."--San Antonio Express-News

7 comments

  • wodun

    “Moreover, this KBO costs less fuel to reach [than other candidate targets], leaving more fuel for the flyby,”

    Wouldn’t this run into the same problem they did with Pluto in regard to just flying by not loitering?

    On Twitter they said that NASA approved the burn now they have to write the proposal for what they want to do. Seems like a done deal though.

  • It was never a “problem” that they didn’t go into orbit around Pluto. It was a fly-by. It was always a fly-by. Their speed coming from Earth made it impossible for them to slow down enough to go into orbit around any object. Similarly, they never planned to orbit their second target. Once again, their speed makes it impossible with the available fuel on board.

    In fact, to simply change their trajectory enough to zip past this second target they need to begin the course corrections soon, in October, or else they won’t have sufficient fuel to even make it.

  • danae

    These remote explorers simply amaze me. That they function so perfectly, for so long, while managing to communicate new information from such distances is, I think, marvelous. And the people who engineer, build, and direct their operations are even more so.

  • wodun

    Yes, that is what I was getting at. They just fly by because of the speed and lack of means to slow down and the same is true for this next target. The statement could be considered to imply otherwise.

    Maybe I should have said limitation or issue.

  • Steve

    A question I have not seen answered yet: Does the fuel required to change course also reduce the time the probe will be able to remain active and return information to Earth? And if so, by how much?

    I know the RTGs will remain active for some number of years just as the twin Voyagers do and Pioneer 10 before them. But will using up thruster fuel now mean a severely reduced lifetime for the spacecraft?

  • Gealon

    In in practice, no, the burn should not decrease NH’s life expectancy since the fine pointing needed to guide the high gain antenna is done using electrically powered gyros. The Voyager probes on the other hand use thrusters to accomplish their pointing and if memory serves are estimated to run out of fuel in the late 2020’s. NH should theoretically be able to stay in communication with Earth for as long as it’s RTG permits.

    I am going to stick a big caveat in here that I am at work and don’t have the time to properly double check my recollection of NH’s design, hopefully I’m not making a fool out of myself.

  • Steve

    Thanks for that reply, I am glad that NH will still be able to maneuver as long as it’s RTG’s hold out, which if The Voyager’s and Pioneer are any indication, could be decades from now. :-)

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