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Readers! A November fund-raising drive!

 

It is unfortunately time for another November fund-raising campaign to support my work here at Behind the Black. I really dislike doing these, but 2025 is so far turning out to be a very poor year for donations and subscriptions, the worst since 2020. I very much need your support for this webpage to survive.

 

And I think I provide real value. Fifteen years ago I said SLS was garbage and should be cancelled. Almost a decade ago I said Orion was a lie and a bad idea. As early as 1998, long before almost anyone else, I predicted in my first book, Genesis: The Story of Apollo 8, that private enterprise and freedom would conquer the solar system, not government. Very early in the COVID panic and continuing throughout I noted that every policy put forth by the government (masks, social distancing, lockdowns, jab mandates) was wrong, misguided, and did more harm than good. In planetary science, while everyone else in the media still thinks Mars has no water, I have been reporting the real results from the orbiters now for more than five years, that Mars is in fact a planet largely covered with ice.

 

I could continue with numerous other examples. If you want to know what others will discover a decade hence, read what I write here at Behind the Black. And if you read my most recent book, Conscious Choice, you will find out what is going to happen in space in the next century.

 

 

This last claim might sound like hubris on my part, but I base it on my overall track record.

 

So please consider donating or subscribing to Behind the Black, either by giving a one-time contribution or a regular subscription. I could really use the support at this time. There are five ways of doing so:

 

1. Zelle: This is the only internet method that charges no fees. All you have to do is use the Zelle link at your internet bank and give my name and email address (zimmerman at nasw dot org). What you donate is what I get.

 

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Don’t you dare touch my space junk!

cataloged objects in orbit

A just released National Research Council report on space junk, Limiting Future Collision Risk to Spacecraft: an assessment of NASA’s meteoroid and orbital debris programs, describes in great and worthwhile detail the increasing problem of orbital debris as well as the technical and budgetary problems that exist for removing it. It is especially worth reading for the stories, such as when a Colorado hiker heard a high-pitched sound and then found a still warm thirty-inch diameter sphere in a foot deep crater. The object turned out to be a titanium tank from a Russian upper stage rocket, launched two months earlier.

What I want to focus on here, however, is one issue the report discusses that, as far as I can tell, has generally been missed. Worse, this issue — somewhat ridiculous when you think about a little — will make removing most of the space junk in Earth orbit far more complicated than ever imagined by engineers.

Simply put, under already agreed-to international treaties, no nation can salvage or collect any debris placed in orbit by another nation. To do so will violate international law, and almost certainly cause an international incident. To quote the report:

No state has the legal authority to remove a debris object from space without the express consent of the object’s state of registry. In the United States, obtaining that consent would involve formal diplomacy and the U.S. State Department. A bilateral or multilateral agreement to retrieve debris would require a technical exchange of data and information about an object’s design that could involve national security, foreign policy, the International Traffic in Arms Regulations (ITAR), contractual rights, intellectual property rights, and other interests. “Space salvage and removal operations in space will cause international friction, if they are undertaken in the absence of international consensus…” Absent formal diplomatic engagement with other nations, the United States would be limited to retrieving only objects on its own registry.

This legal situation is made even worse by the fact that no existing treaty makes a distinction between a whole spacecraft (functioning or not) and the pieces of debris left from a spacecraft’s destruction. The space treaties that exist were all written during the Cold War, when the U.S. and the Soviet Union wanted some form of legal protection for their spacecraft. Both countries feared the science fiction possibility that the other would try to capture and kidnap their opponent’s military satellites, and wrote the treaties to outlaw such behavior. Thus, the treaty language does not even recognize space junk: all objects in space belong to someone, and no one else has a right to touch them without permission.

This fact becomes an even more crucial when you consider that only about thirty percent of all orbital debris can be attributed to the United States. Thus, even if we developed, funded, and built the most sophisticated method for cleaning up space junk, we’d have to somehow restrict our activities to only our own space junk. Without some sort of international agreement, we would be forbidden to touch the junk produced by other countries, thereby leaving the majority of debris in space.

Even worse, serious liability issues exist should a private American company decide it wants to try to make money removing American space junk. As the report notes,

The risk-sharing liability and cap system that has been part of U.S. national launch law since 1984 could provide a model for retrieval activities. In three different instances of removal of an object from space, that is, an Intelsat, the Palapa, and a Westar satellite, the government required agreements in which it was to be held harmless in the event of an accident. Whether this practice is desirable or sustainable for the long-term will have to be addressed.

All in all, the situation is a mess, both in space and here on Earth. The engineers know what to do and could do it relatively quickly, given the chance. Unfortunately, the problem has been placed under the control of governments, and though I have no doubt that some negotiated agreement will eventually be worked out to allow for the collecting of space debris, I also expect this negotiation to take far longer than it should, considering the normal behavior of modern western governments.

Genesis cover

On Christmas Eve 1968 three Americans became the first humans to visit another world. What they did to celebrate was unexpected and profound, and will be remembered throughout all human history. Genesis: the Story of Apollo 8, Robert Zimmerman's classic history of humanity's first journey to another world, tells that story, and it is now available as both an ebook and an audiobook, both with a foreword by Valerie Anders and a new introduction by Robert Zimmerman.

 

The print edition can be purchased at Amazon or from any other book seller. If you want an autographed copy the price is $60 for the hardback and $45 for the paperback, plus $8 shipping for each. Go here for purchasing details. The ebook is available everywhere for $5.99 (before discount) at amazon, or direct from my ebook publisher, ebookit. If you buy it from ebookit you don't support the big tech companies and the author gets a bigger cut much sooner.


The audiobook is also available at all these vendors, and is also free with a 30-day trial membership to Audible.
 

"Not simply about one mission, [Genesis] is also the history of America's quest for the moon... Zimmerman has done a masterful job of tying disparate events together into a solid account of one of America's greatest human triumphs."--San Antonio Express-News

5 comments

  • Bill Hensley

    As I mentioned over at HobbySpace, the other issue you didn’t raise is that any functioning debris removal system would also be a potent anti-satellite weapon. The alarm with which Russia and China would view our development of such a system cannot be overstated – and the feeling is mutual.

  • at least there is only 16000 objects according to that graph . even if it takes about 10 to 100 regulatory forms to be filled out and approved by various agencies for each object that is still manageable for a large corporation and if governments of the world are working together on the problem it can be done , 1.6 million forms to approve would be a drop in the bucket for global bureaucracy . also the longer the debris are up there the more likely it is that some of the larger objects will be valuable to a museum someday maybe it would be worth it to de-orbit or capture some of the stuff to display the histoy of spaceflight . they could capture interesting objects and have an orbiting space museum that space tourists could visit

  • I expect this state of affairs to last until someone loses hardware (or a life) due to orbiting debris. Then there will be a hue and cry over the ‘failure of national will’ to ‘do something’ about this ‘deadly threat’. You can almost write the stories now, leaving the specific details ’till later.

    I’ve sometimes wondered what would happen if an organization based themselves in a non-signatory country and started performing the very operations proscribed to other countries.

  • Kelly Starks

    The law doesn’t mater much, unless we worry about any political scowling. If its identifyable as to orgin, callthem for authority. If it isn’t, declare it abandoned or unidentifyable as to origin. Further, state refusal to control a object safely, or allow its safe disposal would be considered a international threat, etc. I mean dead reactors crashed into Canada, other junk crashed all over the world near people, etc. So your effectively knowingly threatening the citizens and property of other nations on and in orbit of Earth.

    But really, if theUS starts doing it, whats anyone going to say? “Don’t touch my life threatening debris?”

  • I agree. I’m a fan of the ‘Beg forgiveness rather than ask permission’ camp.

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