Computer modelers predict millions will die if China relaxes its zero COVID lockdowns policy
Chicken Little rules again! Scientists, using the same kind of faulty computer models that falsely predicted millions would die in 2020 if we didn’t social distance, wear masks, and shut down all of society (while canceling the Bill of Rights), now predict millions will die in China if that country’s totalitarian communist government relaxes its zero COVID lockdowns policy.
A study based on vaccination rates in March, published in Nature Medicine in May, found that lifting zero-COVID restrictions at that point could “generate a tsunami of COVID-19 cases” over a 6-month period, with 112 million symptomatic cases, 2.7 million intensive care unit (ICU) admissions, and 1.6 million deaths. Peak demand for ICU beds would hit 1 million, more than 15 times the current capacity.
The unvaccinated would account for 77% of the fatalities, according to the authors, primarily at Fudan University. Boosting vaccination rates could slash the toll, but China’s elderly population has remained wary of vaccination. Even today, only 66% of those ages 80 and older have received two doses—versus 90% of the population as a whole—and just 40% have taken boosters.
We of course should trust these scientists without question. How could they possibly be wrong? Bless their hearts. They would never produce junk models simply to promote government overreach and abuse of power.
Readers!
Please consider supporting my work here at Behind the Black. Your support allows me the freedom and ability to analyze objectively the ongoing renaissance in space, as well as the cultural changes -- for good or ill -- that are happening across America. Fourteen years ago I wrote that SLS and Orion were a bad ideas, a waste of money, would be years behind schedule, and better replaced by commercial private enterprise. Only now does it appear that Washington might finally recognize this reality.
In 2020 when the world panicked over COVID I wrote that the panic was unnecessary, that the virus was apparently simply a variation of the flu, that masks were not simply pointless but if worn incorrectly were a health threat, that the lockdowns were a disaster and did nothing to stop the spread of COVID. Only in the past year have some of our so-called experts in the health field have begun to recognize these facts.
Your help allows me to do this kind of intelligent analysis. I take no advertising or sponsors, so my reporting isn't influenced by donations by established space or drug companies. Instead, I rely entirely on donations and subscriptions from my readers, which gives me the freedom to write what I think, unencumbered by outside influences.
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Chicken Little rules again! Scientists, using the same kind of faulty computer models that falsely predicted millions would die in 2020 if we didn’t social distance, wear masks, and shut down all of society (while canceling the Bill of Rights), now predict millions will die in China if that country’s totalitarian communist government relaxes its zero COVID lockdowns policy.
A study based on vaccination rates in March, published in Nature Medicine in May, found that lifting zero-COVID restrictions at that point could “generate a tsunami of COVID-19 cases” over a 6-month period, with 112 million symptomatic cases, 2.7 million intensive care unit (ICU) admissions, and 1.6 million deaths. Peak demand for ICU beds would hit 1 million, more than 15 times the current capacity.
The unvaccinated would account for 77% of the fatalities, according to the authors, primarily at Fudan University. Boosting vaccination rates could slash the toll, but China’s elderly population has remained wary of vaccination. Even today, only 66% of those ages 80 and older have received two doses—versus 90% of the population as a whole—and just 40% have taken boosters.
We of course should trust these scientists without question. How could they possibly be wrong? Bless their hearts. They would never produce junk models simply to promote government overreach and abuse of power.
Readers!
Please consider supporting my work here at Behind the Black. Your support allows me the freedom and ability to analyze objectively the ongoing renaissance in space, as well as the cultural changes -- for good or ill -- that are happening across America. Fourteen years ago I wrote that SLS and Orion were a bad ideas, a waste of money, would be years behind schedule, and better replaced by commercial private enterprise. Only now does it appear that Washington might finally recognize this reality.
In 2020 when the world panicked over COVID I wrote that the panic was unnecessary, that the virus was apparently simply a variation of the flu, that masks were not simply pointless but if worn incorrectly were a health threat, that the lockdowns were a disaster and did nothing to stop the spread of COVID. Only in the past year have some of our so-called experts in the health field have begun to recognize these facts.
Your help allows me to do this kind of intelligent analysis. I take no advertising or sponsors, so my reporting isn't influenced by donations by established space or drug companies. Instead, I rely entirely on donations and subscriptions from my readers, which gives me the freedom to write what I think, unencumbered by outside influences.
You can support me either by giving a one-time contribution or a regular subscription. There are four ways of doing so:
1. Zelle: This is the only internet method that charges no fees. All you have to do is use the Zelle link at your internet bank and give my name and email address (zimmerman at nasw dot org). What you donate is what I get.
2. Patreon: Go to my website there and pick one of five monthly subscription amounts, or by making a one-time donation.
3. A Paypal Donation or subscription:
4. Donate by check, payable to Robert Zimmerman and mailed to
Behind The Black
c/o Robert Zimmerman
P.O.Box 1262
Cortaro, AZ 85652
You can also support me by buying one of my books, as noted in the boxes interspersed throughout the webpage or shown in the menu above.
Covid is much less lethal now than it was two years ago, it has mutated into a less lethal strain. This is absurd!
And the ChiComs will use this “scientific proof” to justify their brutal “No Covid” policies among other repressions. How much were these “scientists” paid to come up with these results?
It’s the further politicization of science. Once it was a search for the truth, now it is for sale. Lysenkoism, anyone?
Bob is right, the world is headed for a new dark age
China and much of Europe are in serious trouble. The US and the rest of North America can absolutely avoid it, but they need competent people to lead the charge. It is obviously too much to hope for competent people in much of government, but people like Musk plus thousands of people at lower levels talking about sane energy policy is helpful.
I propose we relieve the CCP of their burden in running the slave-state known as china:
Thermonuclear Strike
https://youtu.be/S-V6MZlyCqE
2:22
Friends of mine will tell you that in spring 2020 I conjectured that China may have created the Wuhan virus to actually target their elderly. I still think this is a possibility. China faces a demographic tsunami with their population’s age. After 35 years of the One-Child Policy the birth rate crashed. Soon China will face demographics such as Japan’s without Japan’s ability to service its aged population. This will cause great strain in the population…..However, if a tragic pandemic were to come forth and remove that burden or at least some of it, China would be much more nimble and better able to look outside its borders.
This is conjecture on my part but it fits somewhat. And after such a horrific loss of the elderly population the call for control in the name of stopping the spread could possibly be more accepted.
I have heard several annalists state that demographics are an important driver in China. It could very well limit their time to act on Taiwan (along with the presidency of Joe Biden). There may have been many motives in the development of the Wuhan Flu a.k.a COVID.
+ 6 PSI Wayne.
Cotour–
–there’s also something about (intense) sunlight being the best disinfectant….
SIMULATION? : 9-11, COVID19, AND WHATS NEXT?
The World Health Organization, Johns Hopkins, and Bill Gates Just Conducted Another Pandemic Simulation — This Time The Virus Is Deadlier And Targets Children
“The extraordinary group of participants consisted of 10 current and former Health Ministers and senior public health officials from Senegal, Rwanda, Nigeria, Angola, Liberia, Singapore, India, Germany, as well as Bill Gates, co-chair of the Bill & Melinda Gates Foundation. The exercise simulated a series of WHO emergency health advisory board meetings addressing a fictional pandemic set in the near future.
(Question: What is the last statement by your government that was found by you to be true? A: None.)
A little too prescient for you? Just a coincidence? It is funny how those in government and these elite Globalist operators and organizations have the pulse of exactly what extreme event is on the way. How do you achieve real change? Under extreme and perceived life-threatening conditions.
And the result? The people of the world are properly managed for “their own good”?
*The September 11 attacks in 2001 occurred during that year’s Global Guardian and Vigilant Guardian joint exercises. Coincidence?
*In October 2019 – two months before the first cases of Covid-19 were officially detected in Wuhan – the Johns Hopkins Center for Health Security in the United States organized an exercise to simulate what would happen in the event of a global pandemic. Coincidence?
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And where are the frontlines of this political battle being fought and who among the many has stepped up and is actively fighting on that frontline? A native African / American.
https://youtu.be/CxCJkFp2YhM
https://www.businessinsider.in/photo/76218476/elon-musk-says-the-biggest-challenge-of-spacexs-starlink-internet-project-is-not-satellites-but-rather-ufo-on-a-stick-devices-users-will-need-to-get-online.jpg?imgsize=345269