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Elon Musk targets 2029 for first Starship manned mission to Mars

Capitalism in space: In a tweet today Elon Musk announced 2029 as his present target date for the first Starship manned mission to Mars.

This target date should not be considered firm, though it must be taken seriously. Musk’s past predictions tended to be optimistic, but also not unrealistic. If Starship development proceeds at the pace SpaceX is presently maintaining, this date is wholly doable.

The article at the link also said that the first Starship orbital test flight “is expected to take place within the next month.” That certainly matches with Musk’s previous statements, but ignores the bureaucratic delays from the FAA that at the moment prevent it from happening.

Genesis cover

On Christmas Eve 1968 three Americans became the first humans to visit another world. What they did to celebrate was unexpected and profound, and will be remembered throughout all human history. Genesis: the Story of Apollo 8, Robert Zimmerman's classic history of humanity's first journey to another world, tells that story, and it is now available as both an ebook and an audiobook, both with a foreword by Valerie Anders and a new introduction by Robert Zimmerman.

The ebook is available everywhere for $5.99 (before discount) at amazon, or direct from my ebook publisher, ebookit. If you buy it from ebookit you don't support the big tech companies and the author gets a bigger cut much sooner.

The audiobook is also available at all these vendors, and is also free with a 30-day trial membership to Audible.

"Not simply about one mission, [Genesis] is also the history of America's quest for the moon... Zimmerman has done a masterful job of tying disparate events together into a solid account of one of America's greatest human triumphs."--San Antonio Express-News


  • William Ira Frumkin

    The current administration is trying to prevent Elon from reaching Mars. I hope this will change staring after the midterm elections.

  • David K

    Gwynne Shotwell for president 2024!

  • David M. Cook

    I can hear the speech now: “I believe the company should, before the decade is out, land men and women on Mars, safely, with enough supplies & materials to last for years. We do this not because it is easy but because it is hard!”

  • Jeff Wright

    I think it will be 2039. No reason. That date speaks to me somehow. Combo mission.

    I won’t live to see it with this bloody skipping heart and no insurance.

  • George C

    Jeff Wright, maybe you were thinking about the year 2038 problem for systems using a signed 32 bit integer counting number of seconds since 1970. Such systems won’t make it to 2039 either.

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