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Readers! A November fund-raising drive!

 

It is unfortunately time for another November fund-raising campaign to support my work here at Behind the Black. I really dislike doing these, but 2025 is so far turning out to be a very poor year for donations and subscriptions, the worst since 2020. I very much need your support for this webpage to survive.

 

And I think I provide real value. Fifteen years ago I said SLS was garbage and should be cancelled. Almost a decade ago I said Orion was a lie and a bad idea. As early as 1998, long before almost anyone else, I predicted in my first book, Genesis: The Story of Apollo 8, that private enterprise and freedom would conquer the solar system, not government. Very early in the COVID panic and continuing throughout I noted that every policy put forth by the government (masks, social distancing, lockdowns, jab mandates) was wrong, misguided, and did more harm than good. In planetary science, while everyone else in the media still thinks Mars has no water, I have been reporting the real results from the orbiters now for more than five years, that Mars is in fact a planet largely covered with ice.

 

I could continue with numerous other examples. If you want to know what others will discover a decade hence, read what I write here at Behind the Black. And if you read my most recent book, Conscious Choice, you will find out what is going to happen in space in the next century.

 

 

This last claim might sound like hubris on my part, but I base it on my overall track record.

 

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Images reveal changes in Betelgeuse’s shape as it has been dimming

Betelgeuse dimmed
Click for full image.

Using the Very Large Telescope in Chile astronomers have produced before and after images of the red giant Betelgeuse, showing the changes to the star in the past year as it has dimmed by about 36%.

The image to the right, cropped and reduced to post here, was taken in December and shows the star in its dimmed state. Below the fold is a short video that compares this image with a photograph taken in January 2019. The star was then more spherical and evenly bright.

Betelgeuse’s misshaped profile and uneven brightness is not actually a new thing. See for example this 2017 image, where I noted that the bulge on the star’s side suggested “that continuous observations would reveal the outer atmosphere waxing and waning almost like the stuff inside a lava lamp.” The star is a giant gasbag that in the past has frequently been observed with dark patches on its surface and a sense that it is not always spherical. Those changes however have not occurred with such a significant dimming, a full magnitude

In late December I had posted a story noting that the dimming appeared to be expected, caused by the alignment of two different regular fluctuations of brightness, one 5.9 years long and the other 0.5 year long. It was expected that the star would begin brightening again.

Right now astronomers estimate that the low point in these cycles will occur on approximately February 21st. If the star begins to brighten following that date it would confirm that this dimming is just part of its cycles. If not, then it could be that we are in the preliminaries to a supernova event that would probably make Betelgeuse bright enough to be seen during the day.

Genesis cover

On Christmas Eve 1968 three Americans became the first humans to visit another world. What they did to celebrate was unexpected and profound, and will be remembered throughout all human history. Genesis: the Story of Apollo 8, Robert Zimmerman's classic history of humanity's first journey to another world, tells that story, and it is now available as both an ebook and an audiobook, both with a foreword by Valerie Anders and a new introduction by Robert Zimmerman.

 

The print edition can be purchased at Amazon or from any other book seller. If you want an autographed copy the price is $60 for the hardback and $45 for the paperback, plus $8 shipping for each. Go here for purchasing details. The ebook is available everywhere for $5.99 (before discount) at amazon, or direct from my ebook publisher, ebookit. If you buy it from ebookit you don't support the big tech companies and the author gets a bigger cut much sooner.


The audiobook is also available at all these vendors, and is also free with a 30-day trial membership to Audible.
 

"Not simply about one mission, [Genesis] is also the history of America's quest for the moon... Zimmerman has done a masterful job of tying disparate events together into a solid account of one of America's greatest human triumphs."--San Antonio Express-News

9 comments

  • eddie willers

    I had read about the dimming but didn’t give it much thought. Last week I found myself in the backyard on a clear night and looked up and, Holy Moley, I looked at Orion’s left shoulder and it was noticeably dimmer than I remembered.

    And if these 68 year old eyes could see the difference, it’s real.

    I remember the excitement of 1987A, but if Betelgeuse pops……

  • eddie willers

    I guess I should have said Orion’s left shoulder ‘as we look at it’. From Orion’s view, it is his right shoulder.

  • sippin_bourbon

    I read one article that speculated this could be as a result of a dust cloud moving in front of the star. Not sure what would confirm or deny such a theory.

  • Michael Schnieders

    Sippin_bourbon, unfortunately, dust clouds blocking direct light are difficult to discern. From what I have been able to understand, the only way we could tell if dust is or is not blocking light, is if we had two different types of telescopes observing the same object at the same time; specifically, a visible light (Hubble) and an infrared telescope (James Webb). The reason for this is that certain longer wavelengths (infrared) will pass through the “dust”, while other shorter wavelengths (visible) will be absorbed.
    I am desperately hoping that Betelgeuse will continue along this amazing unpredictable path long enough for the James Web Telescope to come online.

  • sippin_bourbon: I personally think the dust cloud theory is a very unoriginal and pedestrian explanation for an object like this. Red giant stars the size of Betelgeuse are strange things that we have no real direct knowledge of. We have not really seen them, only observed their light from a distance. Their behavior thus is completely unknown, and could easily involve phenomenon that we can’t yet even guess at.

    That the star appears to have changed shape does not surprise me. The data from the better images in the past decade have suggested that it functions kind of like a blob of water in weightlessness, its shape undulating wildly.

    At the same time, we know very little, as the images are poor in resolution and are also widely spaced in time.

  • Jay

    The brightness is changing but has anyone checked the spectroscopy to see if there has been a change or shift in the elements, like less hydrogen?

  • paracelsus

    Not an astronomer, but could this be, rather than the star, other bodies revolving about it; gas giants; a black hole orbiting it at quite a distance?

  • paracelsus: Nope, not in this case. The star itself is undulating in shape, and has large dark spots that periodically cross its face.

  • Surellin

    Hmm, wasn’t aware that Orion was visible from Chile.

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