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Readers! A November fund-raising drive!

 

It is unfortunately time for another November fund-raising campaign to support my work here at Behind the Black. I really dislike doing these, but 2025 is so far turning out to be a very poor year for donations and subscriptions, the worst since 2020. I very much need your support for this webpage to survive.

 

And I think I provide real value. Fifteen years ago I said SLS was garbage and should be cancelled. Almost a decade ago I said Orion was a lie and a bad idea. As early as 1998, long before almost anyone else, I predicted in my first book, Genesis: The Story of Apollo 8, that private enterprise and freedom would conquer the solar system, not government. Very early in the COVID panic and continuing throughout I noted that every policy put forth by the government (masks, social distancing, lockdowns, jab mandates) was wrong, misguided, and did more harm than good. In planetary science, while everyone else in the media still thinks Mars has no water, I have been reporting the real results from the orbiters now for more than five years, that Mars is in fact a planet largely covered with ice.

 

I could continue with numerous other examples. If you want to know what others will discover a decade hence, read what I write here at Behind the Black. And if you read my most recent book, Conscious Choice, you will find out what is going to happen in space in the next century.

 

 

This last claim might sound like hubris on my part, but I base it on my overall track record.

 

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SpaceX preps for final engine tests before first orbital Starship/Superheavy flight

Capitalism in space: Having moved its 7th prototype Superheavy booster to the launch pad in Boca Chica even as its installs the six Raptor engines on the 24th prototype of Starship, SpaceX is now about to begin the final engines tests prior to the first orbital Starship/Superheavy flight.

For the first time the chopstick arms on the launch tower were used to lift and place the Superheavy booster onto the pad. It is expected that static fire tests of its 33 Raptor engines could begin within the next few weeks.

The orbital Starship meanwhile is still in the assembly building, where engineers are installing its own six Raptor engines.

Though SpaceX has not made public the exact schedule of tests leading to launch, it is expected that the company will do a short static fire test program with Superheavy alone, and then do a follow-up short series of tests once the Starship prototype is stacked on top. Based on past history, if the tests show no problems SpaceX will quickly move to launch. Though there have been indications that it is targeting July, it would not be surprising if that date slips to August.

The race between Starship and SLS for which will get into orbit first appears to be tightening.

Genesis cover

On Christmas Eve 1968 three Americans became the first humans to visit another world. What they did to celebrate was unexpected and profound, and will be remembered throughout all human history. Genesis: the Story of Apollo 8, Robert Zimmerman's classic history of humanity's first journey to another world, tells that story, and it is now available as both an ebook and an audiobook, both with a foreword by Valerie Anders and a new introduction by Robert Zimmerman.

 

The print edition can be purchased at Amazon or from any other book seller. If you want an autographed copy the price is $60 for the hardback and $45 for the paperback, plus $8 shipping for each. Go here for purchasing details. The ebook is available everywhere for $5.99 (before discount) at amazon, or direct from my ebook publisher, ebookit. If you buy it from ebookit you don't support the big tech companies and the author gets a bigger cut much sooner.


The audiobook is also available at all these vendors, and is also free with a 30-day trial membership to Audible.
 

"Not simply about one mission, [Genesis] is also the history of America's quest for the moon... Zimmerman has done a masterful job of tying disparate events together into a solid account of one of America's greatest human triumphs."--San Antonio Express-News

13 comments

  • geoffc

    Sadly, unless they change their stated plans, it is not clear that Starship will actually launch to an orbit. Rather it will only do half an orbit or so to hit the ocean near Hawaii. Not sure how that is going to count in your orbital count, nor in the Starship vs SLS orbital race.

    But I for one look forward to seeing it regardless!

  • pawn

    I hope Elon does the static fire with #24 on top. I am really worried about the robustness of the TPS system.

  • John hare

    It may be a race to first flight. Second and beyond is pretty much a given.

  • Ray Van Dune

    Both boosters, SLS stage 1 and Starship Superheavy, will boost their upper stages to a high but non-orbital altitude. Then one will re-enter the atmosphere and burn up and/or crash into the sea. The other will turn around, fly back to the launch site, be caught in mid-air and replaced on the launch mount for re-use. But the first one is the far bigger achievement, because even though it is less powerful, it has so far cast orders of magnitude more, and will fly only once a year.

  • Ray Van Dune

    “it has so far COST orders of magnitude more”

    Sorry.

  • Matt in AZ

    Ship24 has the satellite pez-dispenser installed. Are there plans to actually test it out on this flight with a test Starlink 2.0 deployment? If there were to be a test satellite deployed, and if it were able to achieve a single orbit on its own, this would meet the minimum requirement for an orbital payload launch.

  • That first orbital test of Starship will be an orbital flight, even though it will not complete a full orbit. They simply will bring it back early so as to land it where they want, northeast of the Big Island of Hawaii.

  • Jeremy, Alabama

    Hi Geoffc – I believe Musk has said there is no essential difference between a half orbit and a full one, just a few m/s. The half-orbit is by design, to test reentry from basically orbital speed as quickly as possible.

    I think this discussion is on one of Everyday Astronaut’s recent interviews. Musk was hilarious – asked what would make a successful test, he started from reentry, and then backed up to getting to orbit, to getting a successful separation. Finally he said so long as the vehicle cleared the tower without blowing up, that would be a success.

  • Ray Van Dune

    That reminds me of how Musk defined “success” on the first Falcon Heavy test… that it would get high enough so that it didn’t destroy the pad when it blew up!

  • Edward

    geoffc wrote: “Sadly, unless they change their stated plans, it is not clear that Starship will actually launch to an orbit. Rather it will only do half an orbit or so to hit the ocean near Hawaii.

    I was under the impression that Starship would achieve orbital velocity but in an elliptical orbit that had a perigee that brought it down north of Kauai, Hawaii, north west of the big island. Did I misunderstand the plan?

  • Edward: That was my understanding, though you are more versed in the technical/engineering details.

  • Ray Van Dune

    In my informal opinion you would need two qualities to say you have made orbit. One is sufficient velocity, but the other is sufficient altitude to ensure that the perigee does not occur low enough to cause immediate re-entry. If Starship re-enters in less than one complete orbit without need of using retro-thrust, it did not technically achieve orbit.
    That being said, I don’t think it is a significant distinction if indeed the purpose of the fractional orbit is simply to test the TPS near Hawaii, rather than waiting many more orbits to re-enter at another convenient location. It will be interesting to see if the ship does a retro-fire, or not, but even more interesting will be if the booster returns and uses the chopsticks!

  • Edward

    Robert,
    I’m not so sure about being up to date on SpaceX details, as I am not enough of a fanboy to do all the work of searching out all the latest news. I enjoy Tim Dodd, who studies the [ahem] out of each topic, and Scott Manley, who seems to keep up with a lot of space topics, but I don’t spend as much time as I could on other sites, such as Spaceflight.com. I can easily miss some things that SpaceX is up to. Which leads me to:

    Ray Van Dune,
    The last flight plan that I know about is a year old, when SpaceX told the FAA that they would drop the first SuperHeavy into the Gulf of Mexico, a few miles offshore. Unless they file another plan, it is poor form to change the planned route without notification, as the FAA goes to the trouble of setting up a keep-out zone for aircraft and watercraft.
    https://behindtheblack.com/behind-the-black/points-of-information/spacex-in-fcc-filing-outlines-first-orbital-flight-plan-for-starship/

    I expect that SpaceX wants to confirm SuperHeavy’s performance before getting it anywhere near their (literally) precious* launch tower and its “chopsticks.”

    * precious
    adjective
    1. (of an object, substance, or resource) of great value; not to be wasted or treated carelessly: precious works of art | my time is precious.

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