Sunspot update: Sunspots in January went through the roof!
NOAA this week updated its monthly graph that tracks the number of sunspots on the Sun’s Earth-facing hemisphere. Below is that updated graph, with January’s numbers added to the timeline. As I have done monthly for the past dozen years here on Behind the Black, I have added some additional details to that graph to provide context.
Just as in December, the number of sunspots in January 2023 shot up to the highest amount since September 2014, which was during the previous solar maximum. Unlike December, however, January’s numbers came only a hairs-breath from topping that 2014 number. In fact, except for that one 2014 month, January 2023 saw the most sunspots on the Sun since November 2002, twenty years ago. In 2002 the Sun was ramping down from what had been a relatively strong double-peaked solar maximum, and was about to begin an extremely long period of little or no activity, followed by a very weak double-peaked solar maximum in 2013.
That period of little activity also corresponded with a long twenty-year period in which the Earth’s climate appeared to stop warming.
The graph above has been modified to show the predictions of the solar science community for the previous solar maximum. The green curves show the community’s two original predictions from April 2007 for the previous maximum, with half the scientists predicting a very strong maximum and half predicting a weak one. The blue curve is their revised May 2009 prediction. The red curve is the new prediction, first posted by NOAA in April 2020.
These very high January numbers, continuing the high numbers since the beginning of the ramp up from solar minimum in 2020, point almost certainly now to an upcoming strong solar maximum, in utter contradiction to the consensus prediction of NOAA’s panel of solar scientists, as indicated by the red curve. Instead, the high sunspot count continues to suggest that the outlier prediction of a high solar maximum by a handful of dissenting solar scientists will turn out right.
Based on extensive circumstantial climate and solar data, expect the Earth’s climate to show some evidence of warming in the next few years. Just as little activity during the past twenty years corresponded with no global warming, high activity has for centuries been linked to warmer Earth temperatures.
Sadly, the scientists who gather the climate data have corrupted it to convince the world that human-caused global warming is happening, so we will not get a clear signal of the Sun’s impact on climate change. These scientists have tampered with the past data to consistently lower those numbers so that they could strengthen their prediction that the climate is warming.
Thus, the climate now might really be warming — because of the Sun’s behavior — but we won’t be able to know exactly how much, because the earlier data is no longer accurate or trustworthy.
Now available in hardback and paperback as well as ebook!
From the press release: In this ground-breaking new history of early America, historian Robert Zimmerman not only exposes the lie behind The New York Times 1619 Project that falsely claims slavery is central to the history of the United States, he also provides profound lessons about the nature of human societies, lessons important for Americans today as well as for all future settlers on Mars and elsewhere in space.
Conscious Choice: The origins of slavery in America and why it matters today and for our future in outer space, is a riveting page-turning story that documents how slavery slowly became pervasive in the southern British colonies of North America, colonies founded by a people and culture that not only did not allow slavery but in every way were hostile to the practice.
Conscious Choice does more however. In telling the tragic history of the Virginia colony and the rise of slavery there, Zimmerman lays out the proper path for creating healthy societies in places like the Moon and Mars.
“Zimmerman’s ground-breaking history provides every future generation the basic framework for establishing new societies on other worlds. We would be wise to heed what he says.” —Robert Zubrin, founder of founder of the Mars Society.
All editions are available at Amazon, Barnes & Noble, and all book vendors, with the ebook priced at $5.99 before discount. The ebook can also be purchased direct from my ebook publisher, ebookit, in which case you don't support the big tech companies and I get a bigger cut much sooner.
Autographed printed copies are also available at discount directly from me (hardback $24.95; paperback $14.95; Shipping cost for either: $5.00). Just email me at zimmerman @ nasw dot org.
NOAA this week updated its monthly graph that tracks the number of sunspots on the Sun’s Earth-facing hemisphere. Below is that updated graph, with January’s numbers added to the timeline. As I have done monthly for the past dozen years here on Behind the Black, I have added some additional details to that graph to provide context.
Just as in December, the number of sunspots in January 2023 shot up to the highest amount since September 2014, which was during the previous solar maximum. Unlike December, however, January’s numbers came only a hairs-breath from topping that 2014 number. In fact, except for that one 2014 month, January 2023 saw the most sunspots on the Sun since November 2002, twenty years ago. In 2002 the Sun was ramping down from what had been a relatively strong double-peaked solar maximum, and was about to begin an extremely long period of little or no activity, followed by a very weak double-peaked solar maximum in 2013.
That period of little activity also corresponded with a long twenty-year period in which the Earth’s climate appeared to stop warming.
The graph above has been modified to show the predictions of the solar science community for the previous solar maximum. The green curves show the community’s two original predictions from April 2007 for the previous maximum, with half the scientists predicting a very strong maximum and half predicting a weak one. The blue curve is their revised May 2009 prediction. The red curve is the new prediction, first posted by NOAA in April 2020.
These very high January numbers, continuing the high numbers since the beginning of the ramp up from solar minimum in 2020, point almost certainly now to an upcoming strong solar maximum, in utter contradiction to the consensus prediction of NOAA’s panel of solar scientists, as indicated by the red curve. Instead, the high sunspot count continues to suggest that the outlier prediction of a high solar maximum by a handful of dissenting solar scientists will turn out right.
Based on extensive circumstantial climate and solar data, expect the Earth’s climate to show some evidence of warming in the next few years. Just as little activity during the past twenty years corresponded with no global warming, high activity has for centuries been linked to warmer Earth temperatures.
Sadly, the scientists who gather the climate data have corrupted it to convince the world that human-caused global warming is happening, so we will not get a clear signal of the Sun’s impact on climate change. These scientists have tampered with the past data to consistently lower those numbers so that they could strengthen their prediction that the climate is warming.
Thus, the climate now might really be warming — because of the Sun’s behavior — but we won’t be able to know exactly how much, because the earlier data is no longer accurate or trustworthy.
Now available in hardback and paperback as well as ebook!
From the press release: In this ground-breaking new history of early America, historian Robert Zimmerman not only exposes the lie behind The New York Times 1619 Project that falsely claims slavery is central to the history of the United States, he also provides profound lessons about the nature of human societies, lessons important for Americans today as well as for all future settlers on Mars and elsewhere in space.
Conscious Choice: The origins of slavery in America and why it matters today and for our future in outer space, is a riveting page-turning story that documents how slavery slowly became pervasive in the southern British colonies of North America, colonies founded by a people and culture that not only did not allow slavery but in every way were hostile to the practice.
Conscious Choice does more however. In telling the tragic history of the Virginia colony and the rise of slavery there, Zimmerman lays out the proper path for creating healthy societies in places like the Moon and Mars.
“Zimmerman’s ground-breaking history provides every future generation the basic framework for establishing new societies on other worlds. We would be wise to heed what he says.” —Robert Zubrin, founder of founder of the Mars Society.
All editions are available at Amazon, Barnes & Noble, and all book vendors, with the ebook priced at $5.99 before discount. The ebook can also be purchased direct from my ebook publisher, ebookit, in which case you don't support the big tech companies and I get a bigger cut much sooner.
Autographed printed copies are also available at discount directly from me (hardback $24.95; paperback $14.95; Shipping cost for either: $5.00). Just email me at zimmerman @ nasw dot org.
Thanks for this.. I’ve also been watching solar output, for many years now.. Unfortunately it seems it’s still a “wait and see” situation. The big question is, what part does the Sun play in the “warming” discussion. Hopefully over time (solar cycles) this will be known. Thanks again.
I, too, am skeptical of the data which seem to have been corrupted. Scientist are no longer deemed trustworthy (IMHO)
According to my UTILITY BILLS the earth is not warming much! I do know that the last couple of summers have been not as hot as the previous. Same thing happened LAST DECADE! Odd that it seems to follow the sunspot activity! Why can’t we just tell the leftist doomsayers who PROFIT from their corruption to just SHUT UP and NO FUNDING?? Cut off the money and see where it goes!