This year’s building El Niño?
A comparison of satellite data between 1997 and 2015 strongly suggests that an El Niño as strong as the one in 1998 is developing in the Pacific.
The animation is below the fold. Climate scientists have been predicting a strong El Niño for the last few years, with little success. It might finally be happening, however, and if so, it should at least help alleviate the drought in California.
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A comparison of satellite data between 1997 and 2015 strongly suggests that an El Niño as strong as the one in 1998 is developing in the Pacific.
The animation is below the fold. Climate scientists have been predicting a strong El Niño for the last few years, with little success. It might finally be happening, however, and if so, it should at least help alleviate the drought in California.
Readers!
My annual February birthday fund-raising drive for Behind the Black is now over. Thank you to everyone who donated or subscribed. While not a record-setter, the donations were more than sufficient and slightly above average.
As I have said many times before, I can’t express what it means to me to get such support, especially as no one is required to pay anything to read my work. Thank you all again!
For those readers who like my work here at Behind the Black and haven't contributed so far, please consider donating or subscribing. My analysis of space, politics, and culture, taken from the perspective of an historian, is almost always on the money and ahead of the game. For example, in 2020 I correctly predicted that the COVID panic was unnecessary, that the virus was apparently simply a variation of the flu, that masks were not simply pointless but if worn incorrectly were a health threat, that the lockdowns were a disaster and did nothing to stop the spread of COVID. Every one of those 2020 conclusions has turned out right.
Your help allows me to do this kind of intelligent analysis. I take no advertising or sponsors, so my reporting isn't influenced by donations by established space or drug companies. Instead, I rely entirely on donations and subscriptions from my readers, which gives me the freedom to write what I think, unencumbered by outside influences.
You can support me either by giving a one-time contribution or a regular subscription. There are four ways of doing so:
1. Zelle: This is the only internet method that charges no fees. All you have to do is use the Zelle link at your internet bank and give my name and email address (zimmerman at nasw dot org). What you donate is what I get.
2. Patreon: Go to my website there and pick one of five monthly subscription amounts, or by making a one-time donation.
3. A Paypal Donation or subscription:
4. Donate by check, payable to Robert Zimmerman and mailed to
Behind The Black
c/o Robert Zimmerman
P.O.Box 1262
Cortaro, AZ 85652
You can also support me by buying one of my books, as noted in the boxes interspersed throughout the webpage or shown in the menu above.
This may be another very heavy snow year east of the Mississippi. The global weather change via the lack of Sun spot activity is more evidence of a result of planet cooling. This cooling is changing the patterns of the ocean currents and is so far normal. I am wondering if there is a anyone who is comparing the Sun spot activity and EL Nino activity? Just a thought.
Note that in 1998, when we had our last big El Nino, sunspot activity was very very strong. Trying to link the two is probably a mistake.
Last winter in New Mexico (and eastern Arizona), we saw moisture! The spring had many wildflowers which, the old-timers tell me, was more the norm from about 30 years ago. This summer was cloudy around Rodeo and Portal. We will see what this winter – spring brings.
Evaluating and documenting “all” possible interrelationships is worth while! Then we will have a better understanding of what is truly important.
One thing we know for sure; the Earth has all of its energy input from the sun. What energy is stored in resources can not be increased, in fact, we are on an energy losing planet. We depend upon the sun’s output. Just how this output interacts with the various elements in the earth’s realm requires better and unprejudiced evaluation.
That being said, Bob is probably right that there is no link between sun spot data and El Nino. This, however, does require scientific documentation.
One note about cosmic rays: the Sun’s activity “regulates” the energy the earth receives from cosmic rays.