Reactions to the debt deal: almost all unhappy
Reactions to the debt deal: almost all unhappy.
Reactions to the debt deal: almost all unhappy.
How the end of NASA affects national security.
Though I don’t agree with all of Dinerman’s points, he provides a complete and excellent analysis of the present political state of NASA. To me, the key quote is this:
NASA’s Administrator and his Deputy worked hard, along with the President’s science advisor and the rest of the White House team, to alienate a critical mass of members of Congress by ignoring their concerns, rejecting their advice and blindsiding them with critical space policy decisions. The Obama administration then wrecked the previous program on the grounds that it was underfunded and behind schedule, and replaced it with a new program that looks as if it is now underfund and behind schedule. Congressmen and women being human, and under massive pressure to cut spending, have now cut the guts out of the space agency’s proposed budget.
The outlines of a possible debt ceiling deal have been leaked to the press. No tax increases, and a lot of promised cuts, some real but many that are probably likely not to happen.
If true, this deal will represent a victory for the Republicans, despite what appear to be the weak nature of the cuts. And John Podhoretz explains why in a very cogent column today, using the Cold War as an analogy.
Everyone on the Right agrees that the U.S. is on an unsustainable fiscal path that must be altered. The difference comes down to the acceptance of political realities. Just as the United States could not effect rollback in the late 1940s (or any time thereafter), so too the Right and the Republican Party cannot effect a revolutionary change of course on July 31, 2011 with the Senate and the White House in liberal Democratic hands. The strategy, like containment, must have a longer time horizon, though it has the same goal: Ending the entitlement state before it swallows up the rest of the country.
The votes are not there: Senate Republicans have rejected Reid’s debt limit plan. Also, it looks like the House Republicans are going to reject it also.
Update: the House has rejected Reid’s plan. More here.
That didn’t take long: The Senate has killed the Boehner debt ceiling plan that passed the House.
What the Democrats are missing in all this is that if no debt limit extension is passed, it is their beloved programs that will be hurt the most. The Republicans have more or less always preferred limiting government, so imposing the debt ceiling will only serve their purposes.
Thus, it is the Democrats who need the debt ceiling extended more than anyone. That they seem unwilling to agree to any deal or even propose one of their own seems the height of stupidity. Talk about cutting off one’s nose to spite one’s face!
How high would taxes have to be to close the budget gap this year? One blogger took a look:
I decided to look at the IRS data and calculate exactly how high would the tax rates have to be close this year’s budget gap of around $1.6 trillion (it’s $1.65 trillion according to the White House and $1.55 trillion according to the CBO). What I found was certainly not surprising but still quite disturbing.
Take a look yourself. It is very clear that increased taxes cannot solve the debt problem. It can’t even make a dent in it.
In other words, those advocating a “balanced approach” are really only avoiding the problem. In order to get the federal budget under control we have to cut spending. Nor should that be hard, considering that the federal budget has literally doubled since 1999. If we simply went back to 2000 numbers we’d almost certainly have a surplus, and no one would die nor would the world end.
Leftwing civility: The GOP is putting “a gun to the head of 310 million people”.
Tea party members still in the no column.
The debt ceiling situation is really very simple. The Democrats won’t propose anything, nor will they vote for anything that cuts anything. And a large percentage of the new Republicans elected to office in November won’t vote for anything that doesn’t include real and significant cuts. The result is there simply aren’t enough votes to pass a bill. This might change, but based on what I’m reading I suspect that come next week, the federal government will have to find a way to live within its means. And I think that will be a good thing, despite the short term pain it will certainly cause to us all.
Nancy Pelosi said the following about Republicans: โThey donโt just want to make cuts. They want to destroy. They want to destroy food safety, clean air, clean water, the Department of Education. They want to destroy your rights.โ
I want to ask you: How do you do business with someone like that? How do you do business with a party like that? โThey want to destroyโ? (Iโll grant that we think the Department of Education a total boondoggle.) โThey want to destroy your rightsโ? Iโm reminded of why I revolted against the Democratic party long ago: They all talked like this. They all regarded their opponents as monstrous or subhuman. And I knew it was bunk.
And in a related note: Democrats — with no bill of their own — point accusing finger at Republicans.
According to a new government report, the U.S. will pay for half of all health care costs by 2020.
And exactly where will this money come from?
The space war over NASA continues: The Senate has issued a subpoena to NASA, demanding documents related to its plans for building the Congressionally-designed Space Launch System (SLS), what I like to call the-program-formerly-called-Constellation.
In related news, NASAspaceflight.com reports that those NASA documents state that the agency’s plans for building SLS will take 21 years (!), with the first flight not taking place until 2032.
No wonder NASA has stalled releasing these documents. Nor am I surprised. Based on the budget that Congress gave the agency, it is literally impossible for NASA to build this rocket any faster. And at that rate, no one should be surprised if it never gets built at all. Far better to cancel it now and save the taxpayers the money.
Fleeing the sinking ship: Two NASA managers take jobs at RPI.
Finding out what’s in it: One in eight small businesses have stopped providing health insurance since Obamacare was passed.
One of the great โpromisesโ of [Obamacare’s] supporters was that insured people would be able to keep their current health insurance plan. As a practical matter that has not been true for a substantial number of small employers and their employees. Since enactment, one in eight (12%) small employers have either had their health insurance plans terminated or been told that their plan would not be available in the future.
Why the Republicans revolted against their own leader’s proposed debt ceiling plan:
The $7 billion that [was described as] โa real, enforceable cut for FY2012โณ represents what the Government of the United States currently borrows every 37 hours. If the CBOโs scoring is correct โ that it reduces the 2012 deficit by just $1 billion โ then the โcutโ represents what the United States borrows every five hours and 20 minutes. In other words, in the time it takes to photocopy and distribute Boehnerโs โplanโ, the savings have all been borrowed back. [emphasis mine]
Analysis from a liberal at the Washington Post: What Democrats did wrong on the debt ceiling in 2010.
Raising the debt ceiling is really, really unpopular. The idea that Congress should vote itself more authority to run deficits is really, really unintuitive. Even now, after many months of coverage and the most aggressive communications campaign this White House has attempted, Americans are closely split on whether we need to raise the debt ceiling by Aug. 2. Whenever I try to run out the logic of Obama simply refusing to allow Republicans to take the debt ceiling hostage, I end up with us approximately where we are now, but Obamaโs numbers are lower, the GOPโs numbers are higher, a number of congressional Democrats have broken ranks, and Washington elites are firmly arrayed against the White House.
The White House has proposed closing 373 government computer data centers. Considering the budget situation, this might make sense. Key quote:
Between 1998 and 2010, the federal government quadrupled the number of its data centers, although, on average, they each have been using only 27% of their computer power.
A conservative revolt in the House over the GOP debt ceiling plan.
Based on the article above, it doesn’t look like any plan has sufficient votes to pass, which means the federal government is going to have to figure out what it’s like to live under a budget. What a concept!
The day of reckoning looms even closer: Credit rating downgrade for the U.S. government could come as soon as Friday. Key quote:
Itโs not the debt ceiling thatโs triggering a potential ratings change โ itโs the trajectory of debt generated by the federal government.
And this:
The problem, as [the ratings agencies] see it, is not that America canโt pay its debts next month, but that America has grown its debt to such a degree that we canโt pay them in the long run without serious restructuring of the federal government โ and this administration refuses to consider it:
Then there’s this: “Petulant and Inept”
The devil is in the details,” says a Republican strategist closely involved in the debt fight. “When you’re talking about $1 trillion [over ten years], you’re talking about $100 billion a year, but it doesn’t necessarily have to be evenly distributed among the years.” Does that mean it might be loaded mostly at the end of the decade, when it might not even happen? “That’s where you get into the details,” the strategist says.